Best Bets Warwick 3:25 Enfant De Line Chepstow 3:50 Craven Lingfield 4:10 Sir Liam Kempton 8:20 Luberon I should really throw in an opinion of the headline race of the day, No, the two I like are Akhenaten who scored well a few week back at Good Luck
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Warwick 2:50 West End Rocker
Alan King and Choc Thornton didn't have a great Cheltenham but he is
still getting winners and I think he should be able to take this
novice chase after a decent win last time. Sound Accord looks the main
danger but Charlie Mann is hit a decent patch of form and almost
landed his first Cheltenham winner so Shining Gale could also go well
but West End Rocker scored in some style last time and his early
season close 2nd to Wichita Lineman looks pretty good now.
Gold Award is a short priced favourite here but Enfant De Line looks
the value for me, again from the Alan King stable. Clocked a much
better speed figure than the favourite last time out and although the
double-penalty is a worry, it's justified as he was a very easy winner
last time.
OK, Craven completely shirked the issue last time, but he tends to
idle in front and hopefully he will be produced on the scene a little
later than last time. This does represent a slight drop in class so I
think he could make the most of the weight he receives from the
penalised favourite Rash Moment but he is not one to stake too much
on.
Probably just about my best value bet of the day, in possibly one of
the worst handicaps ;-) He has run well the last two outings in a
grade higher than today's and has been running much better for this
yard, scoring well in a seller 3 outings ago. There may be a bit more
to come and he can make the most of the weight he receives from main
danger Zalkani.
Scintillo is likely to be a warm order here but Luberon represents the
bang in-form Mark Johnston, goes well fresh which is the main thing
but crucially he is a proven winner on the track/surface unlike
Scintillo.
the Kentucky Derby trial (lol) at Kempton in the 7:20. I liked the
Gosden runner at first but he tends to start slowly most flat season
and the presence of blinkers is a concern. I also think the Johnston
runner Maashed is too short because Spencer being Frank, he will
probably not take advantage of the decent high draw and drop him in
behind which is not the style to ride a Johnston horse IMO.
Wolverhampton and had shown glimmers of ability in a couple of Group
races last backend and the Johnston runner Mastery with Joe Fanning
booked. Fanning knows how to keep a runner prominent and both these
selections are well drawn in high stalls. At 16/1 and 12/1
respectively they will do for me as each-way bets.
Wednesday, March 18, 2009
Wednesday Best Bets - Full Analysis
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