Wednesday Bets

Leaving Catterick aside, here are the 50k challenge bets for Wednesday, and it’s a late start.

Lingfield 4:00 MELT
Lingfield 4:30 MR WILLIS
Lingfield 5:00 WATERLOO DOCK
Kempton 7:50 CROSS THE LINE
Kempton 8:50 MEXICAN PETE

If any of these are non-runners or end up evens or odds-on then MEKONG MISS is my backup in the 9:20 race.

Tuesday Review
I was right to leave the racing alone on Tuesday, it was pretty dire stuff. Perhaps I need to look into trying a bit of trading on days like that but I was kept busy with some Raceform Interactive analysis of odds-on favourites where I picked up a few useful tips. This mainly involved research into varying stakes on the lays depending on the course, trainer, headgear, time of year etc etc and adjusting stakes appropriately. Hopefully it will help increase profits. It’s obviously odds-dependent but I would rather the shorter-odds on shots won instead of the bigger prices ones but ultimately if more than 50% of odds-on shots win in a day it’s going to be a struggle to return a profit so I am also going to look into laying 1/2 the stake at the SP price and 1/2 at 10% shorter in-running to see if they get matched or not. From what I have observed, the prices can often drop markedly. So a loss on the day of just a little over 3pts.

Date	Course	Time	Selection	Odds	Stake	W/L	P/L	Bank
31/03/2009	Wetherby	14:30	Bow School	1.80	14.03	W	-11.22	1064.38
31/03/2009	Folkestone	14:55	Hi Shinko	1.63	14.00	W	-8.82	1055.56
31/03/2009	Southwell	15:50	The Hague	1.73	14.49	L	14.49	1070.05
31/03/2009	Folkestone	16:05	Imaam	1.80	14.49	W	-11.59	1058.45
31/03/2009	Wetherby	16:45	Pairc Na Gcapall	1.73	14.01	L	14.01	1072.46