Verizon Golf Championship - Steve Flesch 66/1

This week the US Tour goes to Hilton Head and I was really impressed with the play of Steve Flesch who almost missed the cut at the Masters but snuck under the radar, shooting -9 under over the weekend to move into a tie for 6th overall. He hit almost 75% of fairways at Augusta and his putting average was 1.5 strokes over the 4 days. So he clearly found some form this week and although he has not shown much at this venue since a 7th in 2003 he is worth an each-way bet as he is a confidence player and clearly found some form over the weekend on one of the toughest stages.

An outsider worth a trade is John Mallinger (who?). Well, he shot -23 under in the Bob Hope earlier in the year, and his last 3 starts read 44-27-6 so if he continues this trend he may just win ;-) Seriously though, he is fairly new to the tour the last few years, had a couple of top-10's the last few seasons and could be due a big finish. The main reason though is that he is 80/1 and 100/1 but 125 with Corals which is worth an e/w bet yet he is 240(!) on Betfair and I think that could be worth a trade as he may trade a lot shorter if he continues his decent play of late and contends.

Bart Bryant is a player on my radar with the Byron Nelson on the horizon which Woods pinched from his last year. He is one of the most accurate drivers on tour so probably should have player better than he has round here but he does have a 13th and 21st here 3-4 years ago. He has been out of sorts for a bit but he did shoot -12 under in Puerto Rico last month so there can not be too much wrong with his game. Again he looks too big on Betfair at 230 and well worth a small trade at those odds as well as a small e/w

Golf Double

I'm also going for a few Tour-double multiples this week with William Hill as I am feeling lucky even though I know deep down it's a real long-shot of a bet. I took down a big score a few years back when I had a couple of big-priced winners and another guy in the top-5 in each event ! My strategy is to pick golfers with William Hill that are generally priced up bigger than the majority of bookies but I only concentrate on the top-50 in the market. The reason I use Hills is that they are one of the few you can place this with online without question.
Usually, I just took down a few hundred when a couple of long-shots placed but I did come close to further big payouts a few more times. For example, if Bob Estes and Shiv Kapur win their respective events this week I take down almost 7k but if they both place it's still just over 400 quid but ties obviously reduce the returns.



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